The long road to meeting emissions targets
Karin Olander | Dagens Industri | 4 january 2017
Read the full article in Swedish
PA automotive expert, Thomas Goettle, has been quoted in an article in Dagens Industri discussing the results of PA Consulting Group’s latest CO₂ emissions report.
The article outlines how several carmakers appear unlikely to meet the European Union’s (EU) 2021 emissions targets and risk hefty fines. In 2021, the EU will lower its carbon emissions limit to an average of 95 grams carbon dioxide per kilometre. And because the regulatory framework will take into account the weight of the manufacturer's vehicle fleet, the limit varies across the brands.
According to the research, PSA Peugeot Citroen, Toyota, Renault-Nissan and Volvo all look set to meet the targets. Ford, Daimler and Jaguar Land Rover are close to meeting theirs, while Volkswagen and BMW and Hyundai-Kia, Fiat Chrysler and General Motors looks set to miss theirs.
The car makers race to 2021 has started
Download the report
Thomas says: "Although most carmakers have big plans to launch electric vehicles, this will not happen until 2021.” And those who miss their targets are threatened with a fine of €95 per gram over the limit, multiplied by the number of cars sold: “But when it comes to the German manufacturers, it won’t be the loss of money which hurts the most, but rather the perceived failure.”
The article goes on to explain the car industry will also face a new emissions test and a new cycle. The Worldwide Harmonised Lightweight Vehicles Test Procedure will be introduced in 2017 and better reflects real driving cars. It will therefore show higher emissions than the current method of measurement.
Thomas concludes: “Customers have shown their priority is not the environment. Instead, they’d rather choose SUVs and larger cars instead of electric cars. And manufacturers also earn more money from selling their big cars. What happens in future much depends on how electric cars will be received in the market.”